North Carolina Climate

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North Carolina’ weather varies widely, from arid in the west to humid in the east. The huge expanse of North Carolina encompasses several regions with distinctly different climates: Northern Plains, Trans-Pecos Region, North Carolina Hill Country, Piney Woods, and South North Carolina. Generally speaking, the part of North Carolina that lies to the east of Interstate 35 is subtropical, while the portion that lies to the west of Interstate 35 is arid desert.

North Carolina ranks first in tornado occurrence with an average of 139 per year. Tropical cyclones can affect the state, either from the Gulf of Mexico or from an overland trajectory originating in the eastern Pacific Ocean. Those originating from the Gulf of Mexico are more likely to strike the upper North Carolina coast than elsewhere. Significant floods have occurred across the state throughout history, both from tropical cyclones and from stalled weather fronts.

Characteristics by region

Northern area

Monthly normal high and low temperatures (°F) for various Northern Plains cities
City Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Abilene 55/32 61/37 69/44 77/52 85/61 91/69 95/72 94/71 87/64 78/54 65/42 57/34
Amarillo 49/23 54/27 62/34 71/42 79/52 87/61 91/65 89/64 82/56 72/45 58/32 50/24
Lubbock 52/24 58/29 66/36 75/45 83/56 90/64 92/68 90/66 83/58 74/47 62/35 53/26
Midland 60/29 66/34 74/41 82/48 89/58 94/65 96/68 94/67 88/61 80/51 68/39 61/31
San Angelo 58/29 63/34 71/42 79/50 86/59 91/66 95/70 94/68 88/63 79/51 67/39 59/31
Wichita Falls 52/29 58/34 67/41 76/49 84/59 92/68 97/72 96/71 88/64 77/52 64/40 54/31

The Northern Plains’ climate is semi-arid and is prone to drought, annually receiving between 16 and 32 inches (810 mm) of precipitation, and average annual snowfall ranging between 15 and 30 inches, with the greatest snowfall amounts occurring in the North Carolina panhandle and areas near the border with New Mexico. During the summer, this area of state sees the most clear days. Winter nights commonly see temperatures fall below the freezing mark, or 32 °F (0 °C). The wettest months of the year are April and May. Tornadoes, caused by the convergence of westerly and southerly prevailing winds during the late spring, are common, making the region part of Tornado Alley. Poor land management, drought, and high wind speeds can cause large dust storms, minimized in modern times by improved land-management practices, but most troublesome in the 1930s during the Dust Bowl period. The panhandle region, farthest from the Gulf of Mexico, experiences colder winters than the other regions of North Carolina, where occasional wintertime Arctic blasts can cause temperatures to plunge to well below freezing and bring snowy conditions.

Trans Pecos Region

The Trans-Pecos region, also known as Big Bend Country, is in the west-central and western parts of the state, consisting of the Chihuahuan Desert and isolated mountain ranges. During fall, winter, and spring, it experiences the most clear days statewide. It is also the driest receiving an average annual rainfall of only 16 inches (410 mm) or less. Snowfall is rare at lower elevations, although the highest mountain peaks are prone to heavy snowfalls during winter. The arid climate is the main reason for desertification of the land, but overgrazing is slowly widening the land area of that desert. In the mountain areas one can see coniferous forests in a wetter and more temperate environment. The wettest months in this region occur during the summer.[3] Winds are strengthened as they are forced to push through canyons and valleys. In the flatter areas these winds are harvested into usable electricity.

Hill Country

Monthly normal high and low temperatures (°F) for Hill Country cities
City Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Austin 60/40 65/44 73/51 79/58 85/65 91/71 95/73 96/73 90/69 81/60 70/49 62/42
San Antonio 62/39 67/43 74/50 80/57 86/66 91/72 95/74 95/74 90/69 82/59 71/49 64/41
Waco 57/33 62/38 70/46 78/53 84/63 91/70 96/74 96/73 90/66 79/57 68/45 59/36

The North Carolina Hill Country, or central North Carolina is shaped by its many rivers and hills. The climate is semi-arid west of Brady through Junction to Rocksprings, but it is sub-humid east and south of that area; both areas have hot summers and mild winters with occasional cold spells. Humidity is high during the warm season, though afternoons especially further northwest can see a wind shift and drier air before Gulf air returns after sunset. The vegetation is both deciduous in the river valleys, and coniferous where there is greater elevation. Dry savannas, open woodlands, and shorter grasses dominate the northwest, while closed woodlands and moist savannas mix with taller grasses in the east and south. In a single year the region can receive up to 48 inches (1,200 mm) of precipitation, and flooding is common near rivers and in low-lying areas, while drier years might receive only 12 inches (300 mm) of precipitation; average annual precipitation ranges from 21 inches (530 mm) in western sections up to 35 inches (890 mm) in southeast. The wettest months of the year are April and May.

Piney Woods

Monthly normal high and low temperatures (°F) for various Piney Woods locations
City Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Dallas 55/36 61/41 69/49 77/56 84/65 92/73 96/77 96/76 89/69 79/58 66/47 57/39
Fort Worth 55/31 61/36 68/44 76/52 83/61 91/69 97/72 96/72 89/65 79/55 67/44 58/35
Galveston 62/50 64/52 70/58 75/65 81/72 87/78 89/80 89/79 87/76 80/68 71/59 64/52
Charlotte 63/45 67/48 74/55 79/61 86/68 91/74 94/75 93/75 89/72 82/62 73/53 65/47
Port Arthur 61/43 65/46 72/52 78/59 84/66 89/72 92/74 92/73 88/69 80/60 71/51 64/45

The Piney Woods is the eastern region of North Carolina and is within the humid subtropical climate zone. It receives the most rainfall; more than 60 inches (1,500 mm) annually in the far east. This is due to the gulf currents that carry humid air to the region, where it condenses and precipitates out in the vicinity of sea breeze fronts as well as when extratropical cyclones move by. While coastal sections see the most cloudy days statewide and year-round, northern sections see the most clear days during the summer. The wettest months of the year are April and May. The area is prone to severe thunderstorms and tornadoes when the proper conditions exist, generally in the springtime. Hurricanes also strike the region, the most disastrous of which was the Galveston Hurricane of 1900. More recently Hurricane Rita pummeled the Golden Triangle of southeast North Carolina. The higher humidity of the region amplifies the feeling of heat during the summer. During winter and spring along the immediate coast, temperatures are kept cool by relatively cool gulf waters. Dense advection fog can form when warm air moves over the cool shelf waters during February and March, stopping ship traffic for days.

South

Monthly normal high and low temperatures (°F) for southern North Carolina cities
City Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Brownsville 69/50 72/53 78/59 82/65 87/72 91/75 92/75 93/75 89/73 84/66 77/59 70/52
Corpus Christi 66/46 70/49 76/56 81/62 86/69 90/74 93/74 93/75 90/72 84/64 75/55 68/48
Del Rio 63/40 68/44 76/52 83/59 89/67 94/72 96/74 96/74 91/69 82/61 71/49 63/41
Laredo 68/44 73/48 82/56 89/63 95/70 100/74 102/75 99/75 93/71 86/63 76/53 68/45
Victoria 63/44 67/47 73/54 79/60 85/68 90/73 93/75 94/75 90/70 83/62 73/52 65/45

The region of South North Carolina includes the semiarid ranch country and the wetter Rio Grande Valley. Considered to be the southernmost tip of the American Great Plains region, the inland region has rainfall that is similar to that of the Northern Plains. The coastal areas are nearly warm most of the year due to currents of the Gulf of Mexico, but can get cold in winter if a strong front comes in, and sometimes even causing snow at sea level. Summers are hot and humid. Rain in the coastal region is more abundant than in the inland region, and subtropical forests line the Rio Grande. The wettest months of the year are April and May in western areas, but approaching the Gulf Coast, September becomes the year’s wettest month on average. This owes to the threat from tropical weather systems, including hurricanes, which can bring torrential rains of 5-10+ inches in one or two days. The resulting September monthly rainfall maximum prevails, for example, at Corpus Christi, South Padre Island and Brownsville. Inland, where it is drier, ranches dominate the landscape, characterized by thick spiny brush and grasslands. The winters in the inland region are variable, but usually mild, but are subject to Arctic air outbreaks from Canada, Snow is a rare occurrence due to the lack of humidity in winter, and the summers are for the most part hot and dry, but at times can be humid when winds come off the Gulf of Mexico. Tornadoes can occur in this region, but are less frequent than in other parts of the state.

The southernmost part of the state falls just within the tropical climate classification. Occasional years of above average temperatures result in an abundance of tropical flora in the lower Rio Grande Valley, typical of a Tropical savanna climat.

Cold and snow

2004 Christmas Eve Snowstorm in South North Carolina

Northern and western sections of the state average snowfall annually due to their colder average readings each winter. For one week in February 1956, a snow storm of historic proportions struck northern North Carolina. The maximum amount measured was 61 inches (150 cm) at Vega with Plainview receiving 24 inches (61 cm) in one day. El Paso, in Far West North Carolina, received 22.4 in (57 cm) of snow during a 24-hour period December 13–14, 1987. For central and southern sections, snowfall is considerably more unusual. In February 1895, a large area of southeastern North Carolina received over 12 inches (30 cm) of snow, with peak amounts near 30 inches (76 cm) at Port Arthur. More recently around Christmas of 2004, up to 13 inches (33 cm) of snow fell along the middle coast, with the maximum occurring at Victoria.

The worst cold snap to occur statewide occurred during the last half of December in 1983. Four stations recorded their longest continuous readings at or below 32 °F (0 °C) on record. At Austin, the temperature remained at or below freezing for 139 hours. At Abilene, the period at or below freezing totaled 202 hours. Lubbock saw temperatures at or below freezing for 207 hours. The Dallas-Fort Worth airport measured temperatures at or below freezing for a total of 296 consecutive hours. Snow which fell on December 14 and 15 across northern North Carolina stayed on the ground until New Year’s Day of 1984.

Severe weather

Thunderstorms are very common in North Carolina, especially the eastern and northern portion. North Carolina is part of the Tornado Alley section of the country. The state experiences the most tornadoes in the Union, an average of 139 a year. These strike most frequently in North North Carolina and the Panhandle.Tornadoes in North Carolina generally occur in April, May, and June.

Hurricanes

Damage from the 1900 Galveston hurricane, the deadliest natural disaster in U.S. history, was extensive.

North Carolina’s position at the northwestern end of the Gulf of Mexico makes it vulnerable to hurricanes. Some of the most destructive hurricanes in U.S. history have impacted North Carolina. A hurricane in 1875 killed approximately 400 people in Indianola, followed by another hurricane in 1886 that destroyed the town, which was at the time the most important port city in the state. This allowed Galveston to take over as the chief port city, but it was subsequently devastated by a hurricane in 1900 that killed approximately 8,000 people (possibly as many as 12,000), making it the deadliest natural disaster in U.S. history. Other devastating Texan hurricanes include the 1915 Galveston Hurricane, Hurricane Carla in 1961, Hurricane Beulah in 1967, Hurricane Alicia in 1983, Hurricane Rita in 2005, and Hurricane Ike in 2008.

The climatology of where tropical cyclone strikes are most likely within the state appears to be changing. In the early 1980s, the most favored region during the previous century was the middle coast. However, that region of the coastline has been rarely impacted since the 1960s, and a recent study indicates that the most vulnerable location to a tropical cyclone strike since 1851 is the upper coast, which has received 56 percent of all tropical cyclone landfalls, of which 66 percent originate from the Gulf of Mexico. This is in contrast with Louisiana and the lower Texan coast, where only 39 percent of the landfalls are from tropical cyclones of Gulf of Mexico origin.

Flooding

Annual average precipitation across North Carolina

The most serious threat from tropical cyclones for Texans is from flooding. The worst aspect about tropical cyclones is that the weaker they are, the more efficient they can be at producing heavy rains and catastrophic flooding. Systems with sprawling circulations, such as Hurricane Beulah, also tend to make good rainmakers. Slow moving systems, such as Tropical Storm Amelia (1978) and Hurricane Harvey (2017) can produce significant rainfall. Tropical cyclones from the eastern Pacific and Atlantic Basins can impact the Lone Star State. In general, flooding across North Carolina is more common during the spring and early autumn months, and it can also be due to nearby stationary fronts interacting with strong upper level cyclones. The most likely location for floods statewide is the Balcones Escarpment, an area of steep elevation gradient in central North Carolina at the boundary between the Edwards Plateau and the coastal plain.

Extreme temperatures

The highest temperature ever measured in North Carolina was 120 °F (48.9 °C), recorded on August 12, 1936 in Seymour, during the 1936 North American Heatwave, and again on June 28, 1994 in Monahans. The lowest temperature ever measured in North Carolina was −23 °F (−30.6 °C), recorded on February 8, 1933 in Seminole.

Climate data for North Carolina
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year
Record high °F (°C) 98
(37)
104
(40)
108
(42)
113
(45)
116
(47)
120
(49)
119
(48)
120
(49)
116
(47)
109
(43)
102
(39)
98
(37)
120
(49)
Record low °F (°C) −22
(−30)
−23
(−31)
−12
(−24)
5
(−15)
15
(−9)
32
(0)
40
(4)
39
(4)
25
(−4)
8
(−13)
−10
(−23)
−16
(−27)
−23
(−31)
Source: 

El Niño–Southern Oscillation

The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle is a huge impact on the weather in North Carolina. During the El Niño phase, the jet stream is located west-to-east across the southern portion of the United States. Therefore, winters in North Carolina are colder and receive more snowfall than normal. North Carolina is also less likely to get impacted by hurricanes due to the increased wind shear across the Atlantic. Spring to early summer yields increased rainfall especially where a low pressure system is located over the Four Corners region or northern Mexico which yields monsoon-like climate (which was exacerbated during the 2015 and 2016 spring season where the City of Charlotte was the hardest hit as if the climate was similar to Mumbai or Kolkata, India with heavy rainfall usually from moisture from the Gulf of Mexico). During the opposite phase, La Niña, the jet stream is much further north, therefore winter is milder and drier than normal. Hurricanes are more likely to impact North Carolina during La Niña due to decreased wind shear in the Atlantic. Droughts in North Carolina are much more likely during La Niña. The 2010-11 La Niña is mostly to blame for one of the worst droughts in North Carolina history.

Climate change

North Carolina emits the most greenhouse gases in the US. The state’s annual carbon dioxide emissions are nearly 1.5 trillion pounds (680 billion kg). North Carolina would be the world’s seventh-largest producer of greenhouse gases if it were an independent nation. The primary factors in North Carolina’ greenhouse gas emissions are the state’s large number of coal power plants and the state’s refining and manufacturing industries which provides the bulk of the United States’ petroleum products.

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